At the closing of the third World Internet Conference, Sogou CEO Wang Xiaochuan showed a black technology on the mobile Internet forum. In the speech, the Chinese and English translations were synchronized through machine speech recognition, and the big screen behind him continued to scroll. Chinese and English subtitles appear. After that, the discussion of whether artificial intelligence machines can replace simultaneous interpretation and so on is endless.

The simultaneous interpreter Wang Xue has been asked this question by several people. This time, even she felt that her career was threatened: "Well, I am going to lose my job."

“Before I didn’t believe in big data, I’m more and more convinced.” She believes that most of the translation work, except for creative translations of literature, can be replaced by artificial intelligence based on a database of sufficient magnitude. "For example, Google's machine translation has basically replaced humans in some areas."

From the simultaneous interpreter who has just worked for two years, to the science and technology giants Li Yanhong, Yang Yuanqing, Ma Huateng, will artificial intelligence replace the work of human beings, will it replace the development of mobile Internet, and have already laughed from the black wall of Wuzhen? , become the real change behind the binary code.

At this year's Wuzhen World Internet Conference, the outside world's attention to the topic of artificial intelligence was triggered by Baidu CEO Li Yanhong. He believes that in the past, relying on the growth of Internet users to obtain a development path is "unreliable". It is no longer possible to have a unicorn-level startup enterprise by the enthusiasm of the mobile Internet. The real rise of the Internet of Things is not far away, and each of us will The arrival of artificial intelligence has changed.

One of the reasons for Li Yanhong to make such a judgment is that the mobile Internet market has entered a relatively stable development stage. According to China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC), as of June 2016, China's Internet users reached 710 million, and the Internet penetration rate was 51.7%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from the end of 2015.

"The dividend period of the mobile Internet has basically ended, and the next scene is artificial intelligence." This is not the first time that Li Yanhong expressed optimism and expectation for the future of artificial intelligence. At the Summer Summit of the 2016 Yabuli China Entrepreneur Forum held in August this year and the Baidu World Congress held in September, Li Yanhong clearly expressed his emphasis on artificial intelligence.

Li Yanhong’s prediction is even bold: “All future manufacturing industries belong to the artificial intelligence industry, or the Internet of Things industry. All products must be able to be networked, and they must be able to pass data back to the cloud, through artificial intelligence. Analyze these technologies to bring tangible value to our consumers and to our users."

Yang Yuanqing, chairman and CEO of Lenovo Group, and Li Yanhong’s ideas coincide. In a speech entitled "Holding the New Era of Smart Internet," Yang Yuanqing pointed out that the Internet is entering a new stage of development, namely the era of smart Internet, from the PC Internet and mobile Internet.

Yang Yuanqing’s idea is more specific: “Smart devices are becoming ubiquitous from a limited variety of computers, mobile phones, etc., and a steady stream of data is gathered from the terminals to the cloud, and artificial intelligence with self-learning capabilities is constantly reading and analyzing these data. Become smarter and smarter."

Based on these judgments, Yang Yuanqing also described a smarter life in the future: home appliances, office equipment, and traveling cars are no longer passively obeying the instructions to operate the machine, but will be thoughtful for you and take the initiative for you. service. Even people living in houses and living cities will become smarter and more active. For example, the window will adjust itself according to the outdoor climate, the city's temperature, lighting, etc. The city's traffic management system may be connected to the car's navigation driving system, thus greatly reducing congestion.

The big guys verbally affirmed artificial intelligence, and the Internet giant behind them is busy trying new and more intelligent technologies.

Lenovo launched MotoZ, turning mobile phones into an open platform for hardware. With a unified standard, mobile phones can connect more hardware devices and connect to more cloud services. Nowadays, it is possible to connect with JBL speakers and Hasselblad modules. During the World Internet Conference, Baidu unmanned vehicles first opened an open city road operation in the smart car and smart transportation demonstration zone of Tongxiang Road.

Although the "black technology" of synchronous bilingual subtitle conversion made the scene very shocking, Wang Xiaochuan also mentioned a kind of worry in the industry: Will artificial intelligence have a third low tide?

According to the "China Artificial Intelligence Industry Development Report" issued by Xinzhiyuan, artificial intelligence has been developed for 60 years since the Dartmouth Conference in 1956 proposed the concept of artificial intelligence. In the 60 years of development, artificial intelligence has passed. "Three ups and three downs": from the 1950s to the early 1980s, still in the birth and basic stage, the neuron model was proposed, and the sensor was invented; from the 1980s to the beginning of the 21st century, artificial intelligence was successfully commercialized but crossed. Development fails; today, with the increase of computing power brought by Moore's Law and cloud computing, and the accumulation of massive data brought by the widespread use of the Internet and big data, artificial intelligence is expected to achieve scale application, and will penetrate into finance, transportation, Medical, industrial and other fields.

"Before the artificial intelligence twice ebb, we asked a teacher, are you studying artificial intelligence? This is what he is saying." Wang Xiaochuan said that compared to the previous two waves of artificial intelligence, this artificial intelligence topic again Behind the hot debate, artificial intelligence was first used in many industries, and there was a lot of money invested in it. There were also a large number of researchers engaged in artificial intelligence after graduation.

However, the current development of artificial intelligence still encounters many obstacles that are difficult to solve. Taking the voice intelligence that Wang Xiaochuan is proud of as an example, the first problem is the problem of speech recognition and semantic understanding. Wang Xiaochuan found that many technologies can reach 95% or even 97% in quiet environments, but the recognition rate drops when there is noise. When two people talk at the same time, humans can easily distinguish the difference, but for the machine It is extremely difficult.

Wang Xiaochuan mentioned that in the test of a voice intelligent product, they found that the performance of the machine was very bad: the machine asked if parking space was needed, and humans replied: I have no car. The machine can't understand this answer.

Hu Yu, president of the University of Science and Technology, and Hu Yu, president of Xunfei Research Institute, also believe that the current artificial intelligence technology is still in the "weak intelligence" stage, and most of them can only reach the level of voice assistants, to obtain similar or equivalent wisdom to the human brain. With the ability to learn independently and inferior, artificial intelligence also needs to combine deep learning, big data and other technologies to achieve the “涟漪 effect” – to help artificial intelligence products learn through real data and experience through the use of increased population. And updates.

Tencent CEO Ma Huateng is very cautious about the artificial intelligence that is causing hot discussion. He said that artificial intelligence still takes time and is far from the application of all walks of life.

Ma Huateng said that artificial intelligence is a cloud change, and the mobile Internet is a terminal change. Although the growth rate of the mobile Internet has slowed down in recent years, the volume is still large, and there are still many places to be innovative. Instead, he feels that there are new opportunities.

"Now the mobile Internet industry is not like a three or four years ago. It was basically a gateway. If it doesn't go too far, it will be over. Now, the growth gradient may slow down, but there are new opportunities, such as the Mobike bicycle, the 'Internet + bicycle. 'The mobile terminal suddenly popped up.” Ma Huateng said.

Ma Huateng believes that the mobile Internet era has developed to this day. Although the pace of innovation has slowed down, there are still many opportunities for innovation. Artificial intelligence technology is indeed a new enthusiasm, but compared with the terminal innovation in the mobile Internet era, the innovation of artificial intelligence is reflected in the cloud, and there are still many basic technologies that need to be accumulated. Internet companies still have to combine their own advantages to do more exploration in the field of artificial intelligence.

Yang Yuanqing described the future of artificial intelligence in his eyes in two sentences: smart terminals will become more and more intelligent, and the combination of intelligent terminals and clouds will be the future development direction.

In his vision, smart terminals and sensors will be ubiquitous, and based on big data self-learning capabilities, smart terminals will extend from today's very limited categories to all devices around people. “Either air conditioners, humidifiers, air purifiers, cameras, cars, machine tools, etc., will have the ability to calculate storage and network, modular.”

In addition, Yang Yuanqing also believes that the data of these intelligent terminals will be gathered in the cloud, and a new understanding will be formed through algorithm evolution to memorize, learn and analyze these data in a more effective way. Through deep learning, various smart terminals will become smarter and more discreet.

"If the smart terminal is the human sense, then the cloud is the brain, and the perfect combination of the smart terminal and the cloud brain is the future direction of artificial intelligence." Yang Yuanqing said.

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