The robot industry or the VR has become the scent of the capital market in 2017, and it is imperative to regulate the reshuffle. It was learned from the China National Certification and Accreditation Administration that the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Certification and Accreditation Administration, and the National Standards Committee jointly issued the "Opinions on Promoting the Construction of Robot Testing and Certification System" (referred to as "Opinions"), saying that the future A product quality traceability system, a credit file for corporate products, and a “blacklist” system will be established. This means that with the dual promotion of policy and capital, “machine substitution” will enter the real and bid farewell to blind and disorderly development, and the competition and shuffling brought by machine substitution will become more intense in the new year.

Of course, opportunities and challenges coexist. With the continuous economic restructuring in 2017 and the deepening of the “Made in China 2025” strategy, the domestic robot industry will usher in a window of opportunity. The "Future Employment Report" released by the Ali Research Institute at the "Second New Economic Think Tank Conference" shows that in the future, every time a robot is deployed, 3.6 new jobs will be created; by 2035, the scale of China's digital economy will reach nearly 16 With trillions of dollars, the employment capacity will reach 415 million. Innovation ignites demand, policy-driven development, as long as the breakthrough of core technology and the actual grasp of market demand, the domestic robot industry continues to have high prospects for development prospects. .

"Specification" signal appears

After decades of hard work and accumulation, from scratch, from small to large - China has become the world's largest industrial robot consumer market for three consecutive years, and the production of domestic robots is also growing rapidly. According to the statistics of China Robot Industry Alliance, the sales volume of domestic industrial robots continued to grow in 2016. The cumulative sales of 19,257 units in the first half of the year increased by 37.7% compared with the previous year, and the growth rate was 10.2 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. Considering the pre-development enterprises Realizing sales and new enterprise entry, the actual sales volume increased by 70.8% over the previous year. It has maintained a high growth rate for many years, and industrial development is on the rise.

From large to strong, it requires the deep integration of robots and intelligent manufacturing, and it is necessary to introduce policies to correct chaos. From a near perspective, policy guidance, standardized development, and healthy development are becoming the main lines of the development of the robot industry. The "Opinions" released a few days ago include four aspects, including the establishment of the robot inspection and certification system, the construction of the standard system, the construction of the certification platform and the development of certification.

Group standards, product quality traceability system, establishment of credit files and "blacklist" system for enterprise products, and encouragement of robotic inspection and certification activities in the form of voluntary alliances have become the highlights; "unified management, joint implementation, government guidance, market operation The market-oriented principle of the construction of the four major robot inspection and certification systems will urge enterprises to accelerate technological innovation and move toward the mid-to-high end. Almost the same period, the Robot Testing and Certification Standards Working Group and the Public Service Robot Standards Working Group were established, and the "China Robot Standardization White Paper" was announced in the first half of this year.

The "Industrial Technology Innovation Capability Development Plan (2016-2020)" recently issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology also proposes to build 15 national manufacturing innovation centers by 2020, and cultivate 100 key laboratories of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, focusing on key areas such as smart manufacturing. More than 10,000 standards have been revised, and more than 120 international standards have been formed.

Prior to this, policy combination boxing has become an important means to stimulate the continuous improvement of robot products and industry levels, and to guide the way and scale of industrial development. For example, on December 29, 2016, the General Office of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the General Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Office of the National Certification and Accreditation Administration issued the Notice on Promoting the Healthy Development of the Robot Industry, aiming to guide the coordinated development of the robot industry in China.

At the same time, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology formulated the "Standard Conditions for Industrial Robot Industry", which puts forward requirements for the scale, product quality and R&D innovation capability of industrial robot enterprises. On December 7, 2016, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the "Intelligent Manufacturing Development Plan (2016-2020)" at the World Intelligent Manufacturing Conference; in March 2016, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance and other three ministries jointly issued the "Robot Industry Development Plan" ( 2016-2020), pointing out that the development of the robot industry should promote the breakthrough of major iconic products.

Transformation and upgrading should deal with "three transformations"

The prospects of China's robot industry are promising, but they are also accompanied by development problems and bottlenecks. Looking at the status quo, first, foreign robots have become the protagonists of the market. The four major families of global robots, including ABB in Switzerland, KUKA in Germany, FAUNC in Japan, and Yaskawa Electric in Japan, have almost monopolized high-end fields such as robot manufacturing and welding, occupying 50% of the global market share and occupying 70% of the Chinese industrial robot market. The above core, the key core technology is its weapon. Second, domestic robots are now "internal injuries": the industry lacks uniform standards, and industrialization needs to be ordered.

As Xin Guobin, deputy minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology pointed out, at present, China's robot industry has seen a trend of “low-end industry high-end industry”, and there are hidden concerns about over-investment. The hidden dangers of low-level redundant construction are gradually emerging, and problems such as small, scattered and weak have not yet been obtained. Fundamental change. Qu Daokui, chairman of the China Robotics Industry Alliance, said that it is more direct. "Only 10% of the more than 3,000 robot companies in China are competitive, and the remaining 90% are nothing, just a concept."

In this context, the situation of domestic robot manufacturers is even more obvious: most of the robots that replace Chinese workers are foreign brands. The reason is that the core technology is missing. For example, China is moving from a network power to a network power. As the world's largest robot market, China urgently needs to solve the problem of hollow core technology, import of key components, and marginalization of high-end products. The considerable market "gold mine" is hand-made.

Wu Xiaobo, a well-known economist, also pointed out that any industry starts with a bubble, a large number of entrepreneurs go in, a lot of capital goes in, but in fact this scene is vague, more than 2,000 robot companies may die 90%, only The robots used in real scenes can survive. Therefore, only by truly identifying and resolving "what is the weakness of the Chinese robot industry?" can we know how far the domestic robots are from the outbreak.

Strengthen the industry and make excellent quality

Machine substitution will be the development direction of the global manufacturing industry in the future. In order to rise, China's robot industry must first suffer and grow in the blue ocean competition.

To strengthen the industry, it is necessary to enhance the ability of independent innovation and to achieve a close integration of production, education and research. The “Made in China 2025” plan points out the development direction of the robot industry by “breaking through the technical bottleneck of key components such as robot reducers”. Qi Guochun, deputy director of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said recently that the development plan for the robot industry is the overall framework. The next step will be to implement relevant policies and guidance in various fields, and to implement the "two breakthroughs". There will be relevant policies on quality and reliability, and it is expected that some corresponding policies will be introduced at the end of this year.

It is not difficult to set goals and establish industry norms. The key lies in the implementation. The top-level design of the policy ultimately needs to rely on the enterprise to tackle the problem on the ground. At present, the establishment of Chongqing Gaochuang Robotics Research Institute and the successful introduction of Zhongxing Kemei in Guangdong Province to establish a smart manufacturing collaborative innovation research institute can be regarded as an effective measure to build a high-end research and development platform for the robot industry.

Do excellent quality. Ocean robots are not without weaknesses. The disadvantages of unacceptable soil, after-sales maintenance and high prices are precisely the advantages of domestic robots. On the one hand, domestic manufacturers must strengthen their own research and development capabilities, and even obtain core technologies through mergers and acquisitions; on the other hand, they must make a fuss about services. Insiders pointed out that "China's service robot market has entered a blind development in 2016. Under the capital bubble and market hidden dangers, in 2017, China's service robots should be intensively cultivated to improve the technical level and product quality."

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